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2024-12-13 02:37:47

The probability that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December is 85.8%. According to CME's "Fed Watch", the probability that the Fed will keep the current interest rate unchanged by December is 14.2%, and the cumulative probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 85.8%. The probability of keeping the current interest rate unchanged by January next year is 10.5%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 67.5%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 22%.The Japanese yen fell by 0.8% and fell below 151, while the Australian dollar, the commodity currency, rose by over 0.8%. On Monday (December 9, the day after non-farming), the ICE dollar index rose by 0.11% to 106.171 points, which fluctuated violently throughout the day. It was as low as 105.798 points when it was refreshed at 00:01 Beijing time, and then it was pumped back and approached the daily high of 106 when it was refreshed at 12:42. The Bloomberg dollar index rose 0.14% to 1280.69 points, with an intraday trading range of 1276.41-1281.07 points. The dollar rose 0.80% against the yen to 151.20 yen, and the intraday trading range was 149.69-151.35 yen. The euro fell by 0.14% to 1.0553, the pound rose by 0.05% to 1.2751, and the dollar was roughly flat at 0.8788 against the Swiss franc, with a V-shaped reversal at 00:04 to 0.8759 throughout the day. Among commodity currencies, the Australian dollar rose 0.83% against the US dollar, the New Zealand dollar rose 0.58% against the US dollar and the US dollar rose 0.10% against the Canadian dollar. The Swedish krona rose 0.21% against the US dollar and the Norwegian krona rose 0.29% against the US dollar.Hungarian Prime Minister Orban met with President-elect Trump and his DOGE Minister-designate Musk at his Haihu Manor.


United Nations High Commissioner for Human Rights: The situation in the Gaza Strip and the West Bank is still escalating. On the 9th local time, the United Nations High Commissioner for Human Rights said that he is highly concerned about the situation in the Gaza Strip and the West Bank, and the situation in this area is still escalating. Turk also said that the only way out is to reach a ceasefire agreement, but at present, it seems that it is still far away from the conclusion of a ceasefire agreement.Oracle Bone Inscriptions expects adjusted earnings per share to be between $1.50 and $1.54 in the third quarter. The market expects earnings per share to be $1.57.Oracle Bone Inscriptions's cloud infrastructure revenue (IaaS) in the second fiscal quarter was $2.4 billion, with an estimated $2.42 billion.


5 billion square meters of diaphragm has been settled, leading enterprises have accelerated the layout of overseas markets, and the end of the year is approaching, and the lithium battery industry has entered a new round of supply negotiations. The two major battery separator companies, Xingyuan Materials and Enjie, have successively issued announcements recently, and signed large battery separator supply orders with Yiwei Lithium Energy respectively, totaling no less than 5 billion square meters. As one of the upstream materials of lithium battery, in recent years, with the intensive price reduction of the upstream and downstream industrial chains of lithium battery, the diaphragm industry is in a situation of increasing supply and demand, and the pattern of oversupply is difficult to change. Xingyuan Materials has released a new generation of high-safety lithium battery separators, the price of which will be higher than that of conventional coated separators, and Enjie and Xingyuan Materials have also laid out overseas markets with higher gross profit. The industry believes that apart from making profits from technology, it is a general trend for diaphragm enterprises to set up factories close to overseas manufacturers. (Securities Times)Nearly 500,000 people broke the position of Bitcoin and completely recovered their decline after a short-term sharp dive. Bitcoin fluctuated rapidly at around 5:00 this morning, falling from 96,400 US dollars to about 94,700 US dollars, and then quickly rebounded to 96,400 US dollars. The process lasted for about 10 minutes. As shown in the diagram of Golden Ten, the amount of cryptocurrency in the whole network has expanded to 857 million US dollars in the past hour, and more than 497,000 people have exploded in the past 24 hours.The achievements of China's international cooperation in desertification control were unveiled at COP16. On the 9th, the China Pavilion of the 16th Conference of the Parties to the United Nations Convention to Combat Desertification (COP16) held a side event with the theme of "Green Technology, Green Future" to share the successful experience of China's international cooperation in desertification control.

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